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A Probability Analysis Strategy For Options Investing  


Bob Feretich
RAF Research, LLC

Though option investing is among the fastest growing areas of investments, better options strategies and tools are needed to enable options to become a common component of the typical portfolio. Bob will present how price movement probability distributions, which are the basis of modern options pricing theory, can be used to identify advantaged option investment opportunities and to estimate expected return-on-risk. The theory, practical implementation, and test results will be discussed.

Bob Feretich
Bob Feretich is a Managing Director of RAF Research, LLC, a consulting company that specializes in advanced mathematical and algorithmic software, and web applications. Bob's background is in engineering and mathematics. Bob has over twenty-five years experience in electrical engineering and computer software. He served eight years as a Director Engineering for Sun Microsystems; and seven years as Vice President of Software Development and Vice President of Engineering for Vertex Semiconductor Inc, a subsidiary of Toshiba Corporation.

Bob can be reached at bob.feretich@rafresearch.com. The software presented is being tested at www.SelectOptions.com. The site permits free access to the analysis tools during this test period.



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